2020年全球风险报告-世界经济论坛会员免费优质

The Global RisksReport 2020Insight Report 15th EditionIn partnership with Marsh & McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group

Source: World Economic Forum 2007-2020, Global Risks Reports.Note: Global risks may not be strictly comparable across years, as definitions and the set of global risks have evolved with new issues emerging on the 10-year horizon. For example, cyberattacks, income disparity and unemployment entered the set of global risks in 2012. Some global risks have been reclassified: water crises and income disparity were recategorized as societal risks in the 2015 and 2014 Global Risks Reports, respectively.Figure I: The Evolving Risks Landscape, 2007–20201st2nd3rd4th5th1st2nd3rd4th5thTop 5 Global Risks in Terms of LikelihoodTop 5 Global Risks in Terms of Impact2010200920082007201120122013201420152016201720182019202020102009200820072020201120122013201420152016201720182019EconomicEnvironmentalGeopoliticalSocietalTechnologicalWeapons of mass destructionWeapons of mass destructionAsset price collapseFiscal crisesFinancial failureFinancial failure Climate action failureDeglobalization (developed)Climate change Water crises Water crisesExtreme weather Extreme weather Oil price spikesGeopolitical conflict Food crisesWater crises Water crises Chronic diseaseAsset price collapseNatural disastersFiscal crisesAsset price collapseDeglobalization (developed)Oil and gas price spikeChronic diseasesFiscal crisesBlow up in asset pricesDeglobalization (developed)China hard landingOil price shockPandemicsBlow up in asset pricesDeglobalizationInterstate and civil warsPandemicsOil price shockEnergyprice volatility Energyprice volatility Weapons of massdestruction FiscalimbalancesFiscal crisesClimate action failureInfrastructurebreakdownWater crises Unemployment Water crisesInfectious diseasesWeapons of massdestructionInterstate conflictWeapons of mass destructionEnergy price shockWater crisesInvoluntary migrationWeapons of mass destructionExtreme weather Water crisesNatural disastersWeapons of mass destructionExtreme weather Water crises Natural disastersFiscalimbalancesClimate action failureClimate action failureClimate action failureClimate action failureClimate action failureExtreme weatherExtreme weatherAsset price collapseStorms and cyclones Income disparity Income disparity China economic slowdownFloodingFiscal imbalancesFiscal imbalancesNatural disastersNatural disastersBiodiversity lossBiodiversity lossHuman-made environmental disastersChronic diseaseCorruptionGreenhouse gas emissionsData fraud or theft Fiscal crisesBiodiversity lossCyberattacksWater crisesCyberattacksGlobal governancegaps Climate change Water crisesPopulation ageingIncome disparityUnemployment Climate action failureCyberattacks Extreme weatherInterstate conflictFailure of nationalgovernanceState collapse or crisisUnemploymentExtreme weatherInvoluntary migrationInterstateconflict Natural catastrophes Extreme weatherExtreme weather Natural disastersTerrorist attacksData fraud or theftInvoluntary migrationExtreme weather Cybera...