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颠覆而不改变-新冠病毒对全球经济平衡的影响(英)-兰德-107页会员免费

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C O R P O R A T I O NResearch ReportHOWARD J. SHATZDisruption Without Change The Consequences of COVID-19 on the Global Economic Balance

For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RRA1464-1.About RANDThe RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. To learn more about RAND, visit www.rand.org.Research IntegrityOur mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/principles.RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif.© 2022 RAND Corporation is a registered trademark.Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication.ISBN: 978-1-9774-0896-9Cover: Blue Planet Studio/Adobe Stock. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution RightsThis publication and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to its webpage on rand.org is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research products for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

iiiAbout This ReportThe coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has upended the global economy, resulting in large losses of gross domestic product worldwide. This report reviews the economic track record of the United States and its main com-petitors and allies to discern how the dramatic economic changes induced by the disease could affect geopolitical competition and the future security environment. The report uses data through August 31, 2021. This research was completed in September 2021, before the February 2022 Russian inva-sion of Ukraine. It has not been subsequently revised.The...

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