ARTIFICIAIINTFLLGENCEANDIIFFIN2030ONEHUNDREDYEARSTUDYONARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCE|REPORT OFTHE2015 STUDYPANEL| SEPTEMBER2016PREFACETheOne Hundrd YearStudv onArtificial Inteligencc, launchedin the fall of 2014,isa longtcrm investigationof the ficld ofArtificial Intelligencc (Al) andits influences on pcople, theirconsidcrs the sciencc,cngincringYcarStudy formsaStudyPaneTheoverarchingpurposethat lic ahcad. and describes the technical andStudv'speriodicexpertred Year Stud's periodic cxpert revicw is toabout Aland itsinflucncesasthereviewis to provide acollected and connectedallv knownasthe field advancespate in the ficld and bevondThe impact of tht advanccsinAl thatindludedAI algorithms and tchnologics starting to cntcr daly ife around the globec,spurcdtheidea of a long-cerm rec uring study of Al and its influence on people and socictyThe Onc Hundred Year Study was subsecqucntl cndowed at a universitv to cnabe"Ohe Hundred Year Study on AtrifidialIntcligence (Al10),"StanfordUhniversiy,acesedAugust1,2016.https://ail00.,stanford.edu
cxtended derp thought and crossdliscipliary scholarl investizations thatcould inspireinowation and provide intcligent adbic to governmncnt agendies and industr This report is the first in the planned seris of studtics that wil continuc for at leas a hundred years The Standing Commitc dcfined a Study Pancl charge fortheinangural Study Pand n he suome d 215 and ocnid PrlesorPrcr Sonc,at the University of Texas at Austin. to chair the panel. The scventeen-memberxocrts in Al from academia corporate laboratoricsanvv scholars in law, political scienc, policy, and conomicshid-all 2015. The participants represent diversespecialtics andto frame theStudyPanclntialsocictal impactsonjobs,ga particular tcchnolog.The committee ultimatelof a multitude of otherfocus was narrowed to the largefocusto atypical Nordh.American ditvhof the grcat variability of urbanThe Standing Commitee cxpects that the projctidssments, and proactiveguidancc stermming from the study will have broader global rclevanc and is makingplans for futurc studics to cxpand the scopeTABLEOFCONTENTSPREFACEEXECUTIVESUMMARYOVERVIEWSECTIONI:WHATISARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCE?DefiningAlAIResearchTrendsSECTIONII:AIBYDOMAINTransportationHome/ServiceRobotsHeaIthcareEducationLow-resource CommunitiesPublicSafetyandSecurityEmployment and WorkplaceEntertainmentSECTIONII:PROSPECTSANDRECOMIMENDATIONSFORAIPUBLICPOLICYAIPolicy, Now and in theFutureAPPENDUXI:ASHORTHISTORYOFAN
is not to minimize the importance of careful monitoring and deiberation aboutthe impications of Al advanccs for dcfense and warfare, inc huding potentiallymned to adrss fourintended andienccs For the gencral public,ustry, the report describes relevantuide resource allocation.nal governments to helpnance Finall the reoort can help.A rescarchers,ioritics and consider the cthical andIYcarStudvonAl. we cxpect that,lcaders in the private and public scctors, and the gencralpublic,asssment as they make new asscssnents of Al's futurc. Whop...