Expert InsightsPERSPECIVEONATMELYPOLCYSSUERANDMICHAELJ.MAZARRANew Aae of NationsPower and Advantage in the Al EraJanuary2026
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About This PaperIn this paper, Iexamine the sources of national competitive advantage in the emnerging era of artificial intel ligence(AI), Using insights from earlier RAND work on the societal foundations of national competitivenessIevaluate how AI might affect those characteristics. I conclude by proposing the broad elements of a U.Sstrategyfornational competitiveadvantageinthe AlEraCenterfortheGeopolitics of Artificial General IntelligenceRANDGlobaland Emerging Risksis,of RANDthatdeiversrigorous and objective public polic, research on the most conseguential challenges to ivilization and globalsecurity. This work was undertakerby the division's Center for the Geopolitics of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which is committed tohelpingdecisionmakers understand, anticipate, and prepare to navigate the national security and geopoliticalimplications of AGL.For moreinformation. visit www.rand.org/geopolitics-of-agiFundingThiseffort wasindependently initiatedasonducted within the Center for the Geopolitics of Artificial GeneralIntelligence usingincomefromnd oifts from RAND suoporters. including philanthropicgifts made or recom mended by DALHAP Investments td, Ergo Impact, Founders Pledg., Charlottes ochFredriks Stiftelse, Good Ventures, Longview, and Coefficient Giving.RAND donors and grantorshave noinfluence over research findings or recommendationsAcknowledamentsWhile developing the arguments in this,n a year of intenseerging Risk division atemploveesofAIlabsenfistsfrom a half- dozen disciplines,rgingRisks division;,Jeff Alstott;tics of AGI, for their supp...
